Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 1.624198 1.876169 2.153280 2.480520 2.856294 3.274211 3.774207
2025-04-13 1.177675 1.482005 1.845174 2.310061 2.889026 3.586058 4.488902
2025-04-20 0.967230 1.311613 1.752852 2.358656 3.168000 4.211348 5.658302
2025-04-27 0.831534 1.205577 1.716221 2.462468 3.523613 4.976949 7.117911
2025-05-04 0.710670 1.094931 1.650623 2.509935 3.802675 5.672443 8.580491
2025-05-11 0.609360 0.992686 1.577044 2.528607 4.035582 6.326038 10.068330
2025-05-18 0.509308 0.873920 1.457679 2.454970 4.111304 6.746808 11.253132
2025-05-25 0.420261 0.757072 1.321620 2.330274 4.081397 6.989005 12.174937
2025-06-01 0.368049 0.693605 1.262949 2.323183 4.240688 7.551955 13.691624
2025-06-08 0.318598 0.626701 1.187665 2.274098 4.316464 7.976416 15.015600
2025-06-15 0.300546 0.615037 1.209274 2.402466 4.726652 9.035520 17.605345
2025-06-22 0.276243 0.587240 1.196222 2.462182 5.013573 9.900008 19.935272
2025-06-29 0.247072 0.546268 1.154083 2.463537 5.196605 10.608547 22.094382
2025-07-06 0.209418 0.481521 1.054921 2.334918 5.101069 10.762823 23.176641
2025-07-13 0.194761 0.464472 1.052539 2.409348 5.437680 11.829059 26.271508
2025-07-20 0.185265 0.457546 1.070884 2.531360 5.892996 13.198090 30.185656
2025-07-27 0.171950 0.439495 1.061750 2.589989 6.215202 14.321160 33.706542
2025-08-03 0.157867 0.417271 1.039721 2.615236 6.463880 15.311636 37.054802
2025-08-10 0.139626 0.381599 0.980532 2.542636 6.471266 15.754790 39.192003
2025-08-17 0.120835 0.341318 0.904021 2.415586 6.327553 15.824872 40.444389
2025-08-24 0.110389 0.321663 0.876641 2.409446 6.484620 16.632334 43.598596
2025-08-31 0.099086 0.297769 0.834783 2.359286 6.521603 17.148958 46.088947
2025-09-07 0.096677 0.298860 0.859810 2.492807 7.061032 18.994309 52.223675